Issued: 0530hrs Thursday 17th July 2025
Duty forecaster: Dan Graves

Thunderstorms tending to isolate towards eastern Europe allowing more sun into central countries.

Thursday
A sunny warm day for Iberia and the Mediterranean islands; only some scattered light showers in north Spain and Corsica. Afternoon showers in central Italy, only scattered showers in the north, substantially dry and sunny in the south. Showery rain with heavy bursts slip southward across the Balkans, good sun before and after rain. A risk of thunderstorms increases from Albania into Bulgaria later in the day. Mostly sunny and hot all day in Greece and Türkiye, some scattered showers may develop on Türkiye's southern coast.
Dry, mostly sunny, and very warm in France, only some cloud in the north, which extends into the Low Countries. A brisk breeze drifts into the Low Countries and northwest Germamy off the North Sea. Much of western Germany and Switzerland will be settled with sun spells. Afternoon showers develop in east Germany (possibly widespread rain here), Austria, and much of south Poland, Czechia, and Slovakia. A notable west-northwesterly breeze here too. Widespread afternoon showers develop over Romania, possibly extensive rain west. Rain more scattered in Ukraine and Belarus, but always the risk of becoming heavy and thundery.
Showery rain slowly drifts around Denmark and southernmost Sweden, generally improving as the day goes with sunny spells. Most of Sweden north of the south coast will be sunny and hot. Norway and Finland will be similarly sunny and hot. Heavy showers in Lithuania and Latvia, clearer in Estonia; likely sunny and very warm.

Friday
A westerly breeze into Portugal and Spain facilitates showery rain onto west coasts and northwest hills. Dry and fine for the Mediterranean islands and most of Italy, only scattered light showers down the spine of the country. Fine and sunny too in the Balkans, only scattered showers well inland. Scattered afternoon showers will form inland Greece, amounting to little. Dry and fine in Türkiye and Cyprus.
Showers in west France with a risk of thunderstorms later. Dry with a mix of cloud and sun for the Low Countries and west Germany. Rain in east Germany, though lighter and more scattered than recent day. Substantially dry over the Alps, only risk of showers in the east. Some patchy rain in Poland southward into Hungary; milder temperatures than recent day north of the Alps from Germany eastward. Risk of heavy, thundery showers persists in Belarus, Ukraine, and Romania, decent sun near the Black Sea.
Only scattered patchy rain in Denmark and southernmost Sweden. Scandinavia otherwise warm and sunny, hot across northern areas of Sweden and Finland. Risk of heavy/thundery afternoon showers persists in Lithuania and southern Latvia, only scattered light showers in Estonia and otherwise sunny here.